R12.2 Demantra Pre-release material now available !

R12.2 Demantra Pre-release material now available !

Oracle has recently updated Demantra documentation library with R12.2 pre-release content. One can access TOI material around new enhancements which will be available with R12.2 release.

Some of the key enhancements are:
1. Import from File: Export to Excel option from worksheet interface has been enhanced considerably to allow users import csv files directly from their desktops to a predefined demantra worksheet. This will surely assist end users in making mass changes or uploading supplementary demand facts like customer forecast or other causal factors.

2. Calendar Month: This was a long awaited functionality which enables customers to build a weekly Demantra data model but still allows them to work at calendar month aggregation level. This enhancement has been in asking list from many demantra customers and will surely assist building more robust but flexible demand planning process.

3. Improved Multi-language support: Building on 7.2 feature of supporting alternate languages with constraint of one language per instance, now 12.2 features supporting multi-languages within a single instance.

4. Other enhancements include:

• Improved Date Format
• DOL & DA enabled for PTP module
• Nodal tuning now available for TPO module
• Improved Cost Modeling (ASCP/SNO/Rapid Planning integration)
• Promotion and Calendar Optimization 

Refer for more details Oracle Support site under metalink note: 

Oracle Demantra Documentation Library [ID 443969.1]

Oracle Mix Open World Session

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Integrated Collaborative Forecasting for CPG Industry

Abstract

This session will explore how an integrated collaborative platform can be build using Value Chain Planning modules to enable usage of POS, Withdrawals, Shipments, Bookings and Trade promotions in building an integrated collaborative forecast using Demantra.

This session will also discuss:
1. S&OP solution options
2. Challenges faced during implementation
3. CPG Success Stories

Vote for this session @ Oracle Mix.

Integrated Causal Exponential Model (BWint)

Demantra has Integrated Causal Exponential Model (BWint) as one of the models available for analytical engine. This also is a regression model, known as Multiplicative regression - winter model. The model works only in DP mode. It runs multiplicative regression on Causal data (short CFs) and then smooths out the residual series exponentially like HOLT.

Data Type: Good fit for capturing Trends, Seasonality and Causality in demand data.

Example: Here is an example of where forecast is generated by Bwint model of Demantra. Look at how engine is able to capture seasonality and demand trend accurately, providing a good baseline forecast for planners to start with.

Demantra 7.3.1: Fast Divider Engine parameters

Just a small note for those who wish to be on are on 7.3.1 level.

If you have noticed or are using engine parameters "RunFastDivider" & "RunPartialDivider" in your Demantra 7.3.0.1 install, there is a change awaiting you in 7.3.1 release. While the concept of fast divider which came with 7.3 release to speed up the engine run remains in existence, these parameters no more exist. This was established that these parameters need not exist to support fast divider process, hence Oracle decided to take out these parameters from 7.3.1 release.

Basics of Demand Forecasting

CHAPTER 5- DEMAND FORECASTING

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Few Forecasting Phrases

Forecasting in business is like sex in society, we have to have it, we cannot

get along without it, everyone is doing it, one way or another, but nobody is

sure he is doing it the best way.

-G W Plossl

Last Frontiers for Profits

Forecasting is like trying to drive a car

blindfolded and following directions

given by a person who is looking

out of the back window

- unknown

All forecasts are wrong

Those who claim to forecast the future

are all lying even if, by chance,

they are later proved right .

Demantra 7.3.1 released

Few key features which 7.3.1 has to offer are:

• Support for Service Parts Forecasting: Seeded integration now available between Demantra and Service Parts Planning(SPP) module. For customers implementing SPP module this integration can help them use Demantra for developing a more accurate Service(Spare) Parts forecast.
• Support for Multiple Business Processes: Forecast tree and Causal Factors can now be setup differently for each engine profile, allowing better flexibility around setting up analytical engine for different business processes.
• Enhanced Proport: Improved Proport process performance by providing additional parameters to control proport run.
• Worksheet Performance improvement: Additional parameters to create parallel hints for specific worksheets which can help in improving the performance of Demantra worksheets.
  
• Support for Rolling Data Profile Groups: Users can now assign rolling data profiles to a group and then can call these groups for execution using workflow. This feature increases flexibility around archiving process within Demantra.

New versions of various Demantra documentation now available in Oracle MySupport @

Oracle Demantra Documentation Library [ID 443969.1]